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DIVINATION CLUB: Term XXI, Activity 7: Cold Readings vs The Noble Art of Divination

Every year, this squabble seems to happen. Somebody throws a tantrum, fed up of not being able to see anything, or seeing shapes in tea-leaves only to be shot down for saying something. The whole class pipes up about how it's a waste of time, until somebody points out what has correctly been predicted over the course of the year. It seems Trelawney has a special way of dealing with this: she opens a fresh pack of greenish joss sticks and lights them; the thick mossy smoke makes everybody go mellow and thick-headed, and she smiles at the renewed optimism.
Activity: Cold Readings vs The Noble Art of Divination
Points: Long debate: Participation 10pts, Additional comment: 2pts.
Deadline: 20th December @ 11:59PM UTC.
Details: Do you believe there is a difference between the Divination presented in the HP series, and those techniques applied by Muggles in the real world? Could you or I walk into a class and be on equal footing with those at Hogwarts? Do Wizarding folk simply have greater sensitivity to the paranormal workings of the universe? Debate and discuss.
Okay! Seeing as people seemed to enjoy the Hogsmeade debate, we're going to have another one (before I forget). So here's the point of discussion:
Is wizarding Divination any different from Muggle fortune telling?
Note that this question is NOT asking if you think Muggle fortune telling is a sham or not: that's a completely different issue. If possible, let's try to keep things on track!
I would like you to consider whether there's any real differences between our brand of fortune telling, and the one depicted in the books. Do you think a Muggle could teach the kids as well as Trelawney? Did the predictions that came true in the novels happen because of Divination's magic, or was it just dumb, serendipitous luck? Are both types just cold readings manifested in different ways? Feel free to cite things from canon as much as from your own point of view!
A substantial opening comment is worth 10 points. Follow-on elaborated responses are worth 2 points each, so long as they're a bit more meaty than "I agree/disagree". Cap of 30 points total.
Make Hermione proud, guys! Or Trelawney. Or Firenze. Whichever.
Questions? Quandries? Quijibo?
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The only barrier to a Muggle divination teacher would therefore be the possibility that the ability to tell the future is inherently magic bases. If there are no Muggles well versed in divination (ie. people who tell the future have some sort of latent magical ability and are therefore not truly Muggles. Maybe Squibs?), then the question would become moot. Though I suppose even in that case, a true Muggle would be able to teach theory, which is all a divination class would really be based on anyway, they would just have possible difficulty resulting from a lack of respect from their students due to their inability to “practice what they preach.” That would, of course, go just as much for a Wizard teach who did not actually have any divination ability.
Allison//Ravenclaw
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Evy//Ravenclaw//2
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Lena/Gryffindor/1
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Rita//Slytherin//4
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Evy//Ravenclaw//1
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Rita//Slytherin//7
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Evy//Ravenclaw//3
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Mari-Linn // Slytherin // I hope this is long enough?
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Rita//Slytherin//3
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Evy//Ravenclaw//4
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Muggle seers is an entirely plausible concept, but would they be classified as seers by magical folk? Professor McGonagall said that true seers were extremely rare. Just like metamorphmaguses (god does that word even exist?!).
However, if we're to take what McGonagall said as truth, how does one explain the volume of prophecies in the Hall of Prophecy?
Ria/Slytherin/2
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The difference between fortune telling and divination is a very basic one. In fortune telling, as practised by us Muggles, it is the cards/runes that tell the future and the person who reads them simply translates them in a way which can be understood by others. Divination, on the other hand, requires some kind of gift - an open mind, intuition, inner eye, whatever have you. In divination, the person with gift sees the future or is a conduit for 'force' which sees the future. Then, there are seers and prophets who are, for the lack of better words, vessels for some kind of unknown force which is able to tell the future.
Look at it this way: Trelawney couldn't divine your future for the life of her. However, when she was reading cards (book 6, anyone?), she was able to see what could happen. In this instance it was the cards that held the future. On the other hand, when she gave the prophecies before the books started and in book 3, she was a vessel for something which had the access to future. Let me reiterate here: she wasn't divining. She was a vessel, a seer or a prophetess, what have you, but it was an outside 'force' which allowed her to make the prophecies.
Another difference between fortune telling and divination. Fortune telling is more like giving guidelines of what can happen. Divination, on the other hand (along with prophecies) tells us about something that will definitely happen, something that is set in stone, so to speak.
To illustrate my point: I read (or rather used to read) Tarot cards. Many people for whom I read later told me most of things I told them came true. But that doesn't mean I know what will happen in the future; I simply passed along the message I read in the cards.
Do I think a Muggle would be able to teach kids divination? Well, that would depend if the Muggle had an inner eye, open senses, whatever you call it. I have to say, that for divination, you certainly have to have a gift, which is why I think it should only be taught to those who show an ability for it. The rest of kids should be taught fortune telling instead. Tarot, runes, things like that which do not require a gift but which instead require someone who can read them. And n this case even Hermione would be able to do it because there's not hidden tricks to it. You just need to learn the meaning of cards/runes and be able to contextualise them.
And we need to remember this: fortune telling is often validated by hindsight. Prophecies, on the other hand, are something that needs to be unravelled.
Lena/Gryffindor
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I don't believe you can teach people about finding their inner eye if they don't have an inkling of a gift. IT is a very rare ability so obviously not many people would have a need for Divination classes.
Lena | Gryffindor | 4
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Divination/prophecy is more tangible. It will definitely happen. Take the Harry/Voldie prophecy. It was said in a wishy washy way and yet it gave substantial details: couple who defied him three times, a child born at the end of July, marking as an equal, power he knows not. We might have speculated about the power, not knowing what it was, but over all the prophecy was more straightforward? I'm not exactly sure how to differentiate it more.
Divination/prophecy = will happen fo' sho. Fortune telling = not really, maybe, depends on how you contextualise it.
Lena | Gryffindor | 2
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Rita//Slytherin//1
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Lena | Gryffindor | 3
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But what I wonder, and would love your thoughts on: does having the Sight make the readings that much easier/clearer? Does it help manipulate the cards/leaves/etc in such a way that it's a more concrete answer as opposed to what one without the gift might see?
Evy//Ravenclaw//5
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I wouldn't necessarily say that someone with the Sight would have a more concrete or clear answer than someone without it, I think they simply would have an easier time of it ;)
Lena | Gryffindor | 11
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On the other hand, the divination practiced by actual Seers such as Trelawney's trance has got to be different from both classroom Divination and Muggle methods. For one thing, the behavior is very different (and it can't come on command); on the other hand, the results are clear and perfectly effective when in a trance.
The one remaining question is: what about Trelawney's other predictions, which are technically correct but misleading? My guess would be that they come from a small bit of a magical inner eye which has a vague glimpse of what happens but can't get everything. This seems to be what the centaurs teach as well...
William//Slytherin
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Rita//Slytherin//2
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However, I think that divination as practised by Seers is something more advanced and doesn't really belong in the Hogwarts curriculum.
Lena | Gryffindor | 6
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Evy//Ravenclaw//6
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Rita//Slytherin
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Rita//Slytherin//9
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Exactly this. Because Divination deals with predicting something that hasn't yet occurred, it doesn't have instant results like waving your wand and casting a spell. Essentially you're guessing, alright so you have a couple of cards with pictures to help you along the way, but overall I think both variants -wizarding and muggle- are almost identical.
Ria/Slytherin/1
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I don't agree that the magic was in the ritual, though. I believe the magic, in this case, was the sigh, open mid, sixth sense, whatever you call it, and it was definitely in the person. It is something that cannot be taught or passed on, unless you already possess it and are able to cultivate it.
Lena | Gryffindor | 10
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Evy//Ravenclaw//8
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With muggle fortune telling, I think it's more of advice. The person who gets the reading usually takes the results and applies them to his or her life or sees it as advice for the future. It's more of the part of the person getting the reading to make the reading real or correct. Does that make sense or am I babbling? I don't think a wizard would do that. If they get a divination reading, then it must be what's going to happen.
I guess what I'm trying to say is that muggle fortune telling is more in the eye of the beholder and divination is more realistic. Muggles see what they want to see where wizards are more likely to see it how it is. But that's just my opinion.
Lindsay of Hufflepuff
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Do you think having magical abilities makes it easier, then, for wizards to look at the same clump of tea leaves and see more easily what future it paints, where Muggles would look at it and try to bend the future to what they want it to be?
Evy//Ravenclaw//9
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Funny thing about Neville smashing that cup. When I read it, it seemed to me like Trelawney 'suggested' Neville that he would drop the cup and he did, because he believed she had the gift to see the future. It seemed like a scam to me, to be honest. Which was quite striking when compared to the card reading she did in book 6, where she read that Dumbledore was in danger.
Lena | Gryffindor | 8
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Evy//Ravenclaw//10
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To compare with muggle cold readings, a lot of it is built around the mystic deducing things from the querant that aren't said explicitly. To quote an example: someone who is clearly worried by something may be surprised when a fortune teller "knows" they are facing a tough decision, or they have paths ahead of them despite how things feel now. Truth is, ANYONE who is worried likely has to make a big decision; the description could be regarding financial, personal, relationship, career, education, health, family, you name it. It's a big umbrella but is made to look specific by dressing it up properly. I think a lot of HP Divination is about the dress-up, too. The presentation, the setup, the expectation, and maybe on occasion the odd self-fulfilling prophecy, too.
What I find interesting is how Hermione was ejected from the class (well, she stormed out but she knew she wasn't welcome). Was it because she lacked an inner eye? No, it's because she was a cynic and was sceptical from day one. Trelawney knows on some level that if you don't believe in Divination you'll never hope to get a thing from it. I think that's true with Muggle psychics etc, as well.
Rob/Gryffindor
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I like the way you described the cold reading. It is, in essence, fortune telling. It's mostly speculation and contextualisation and really vague wording.
Lena | Gryffindor | 7
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Now that you've brought it up too, it does seem as though Divination is the one thing that's unchanged or unmagicked in the world. Even Muggle Studies has the "Ariel using a fork as a comb" effect where Muggle objects are reimagined from a different perspective, but I have never really thought anything was interesting or different in Divination classes. I guess the reason is because it's already part of the occult in our world.
Evy//Ravenclaw
DEBATE CLOSED!